Private Credit Crosses $2.5T — and CFOs Are Taking Notice
Global private credit AUM has surpassed $2.5 trillion, with direct lending spreads now sitting at 450–500bps over SOFR as banks continue to retreat from mid-market lending. A Preqin survey of 300 institutional CFOs finds 58% are actively exploring direct lending as an alternative to syndicated loans in 2026. The flexibility is real — but so is the floating-rate risk embedded in most private credit structures.
If your company carries floating-rate debt, model your interest expense at 50bp and 100bp rate increases. Covenant-lite terms don't protect you from pricing risk.